Office of the High Representative Economic Newsletter


Newsletter

Economic Reform and Reconstruction in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH)

Sarajevo, March 1998, Vol. 1, Issue 1

Economic Task Force Secretariat
OHR in co-operation with IMG International Management Group


Economic Indicators BiH

GDP
Federation GDP '974,189 million DM
Growth rate '97+37%
% change '97/'90-52%

(Source: Federation Statistical Institute)

RS GDP '97: not yet available
Growth rate '97: not yet available

Trade*
Imports BiH '972,000 million DM
Exports BiH '97250 million DM
(Source: IMF, Note: 1st&2nd quarter only)
Imports Federation '974,480 million DM
(Source: EC-CAFAO)

*:Reliable figures on Fed. Export and RS trade not available.

Employment & Wages

Fed.RS
Employed580,000300,000
Unemployment rate33%27%*

*Pale Region: 35%, Banja Luka Region: 23%
(Source: World Bank survey, spring '97)


Fed.RS
Average wage Dec '97308 DM210 DM
% change Dec/Sept '97+14%+39%
- production wage+16%+50%
- service wage+5%+11%

(Source: Federation & RS Statistical Institutes)

Prices

Average living costs;Retail;
Fed.: % change Jan '98/Nov '97:3%2%
RS: % change Feb '98/Sep '97:20%13%
Fed.: % change '97/'968.6%10.8%
RS: % change '97/'969.0%1.4%

(Source: Federation & RS Statistical Institutes)

(More information on this subject can be obtained by the World Bank Resident Mission BiH, Mr. G. Hunter or Mr. N. Bukvic, Tel.: 440293)


Economic Policy and Reform

Customs Tariff Law passed

The BiH Parliamentary Assembly adopted the Law on Customs Tariff on 3 February 1998. This Law, which regulates the tariff policy also includes the tariff schedule which lists around 8000 items harmonized with the European nomenclature. The Law has entered into force on 13 March.

Whereas customs tariffs so far where different in the two Entities and spread over more than 20 different rates, the law establishes unified customs tariffs within BiH. All items are now grouped into only four ad valorem rates of 0, 5, 10 and 15%.

This Law constitutes a major step forward in the integration of a Bosnian economic space. It will facilitate foreign trade and discourage evasion of customs duties. The implementation of the Law will be monitored by the Customs and Fiscal Assistance Office of the European Commission (EC-CAFAO). The second part of the new customs legal regime is the Customs Code, which is still in preparation. The new Code will introduce modern customs procedures.

Foreign Investment Law put into force by the High Representative

The BiH Parliamentary Assembly failed to adopt the Law on the Policy of Foreign Direct Investment in its sessions on 5 and 6 March. Using his powers under Annex 10 of the Dayton Peace Agreement, the High Representative decided to put the Law into force on an interim basis on 6 March. The law enters into force 8 days after publication in the BiH Official Gazette.

The most important feature of the Law is non-discrimination between foreign and domestic investors. The Law establishes transparent rules for entry and exit and for dispute settlement. It abstains from offering special incentives. The purpose of the Law is to create a policy and legal framework that ensures a favorable investment climate in order to attract foreign investors. The arrival of foreign investment is necessary for a sustained economic recovery of BiH. With the implementation of this state level policy law, the Entities will need to align their respective foreign investment laws.

Short term budgetary support to the new RS government

On request of the High Representative, the European Union (EU), the Netherlands, Sweden Canada and the United Kingdom (UK) decided to provide extraordinary budgetary support to the Government of the Republika Srpska. Funds will be used to help the authorities clear the arrears of salaries in all public sectors except police and army.

The support is being implemented by the OHR. Contributions received to date amount to about 18 million DM, including ECU 6.0 million (DM 11.9) from the EU, Hfl 1.5 million (DM 1.3) from the Netherlands, SEK 1.5 million (DM 0.3) from Sweden, CAN$ 1.0 million (DM 1.3) from Canada, and £1million (DM 3.0) from the UK.

The first tranche of the EU funds was disbursed on 26 February, and the second on 7 March. A third tranche will be disbursed before the end of March. It is expected that under the new administration, the flow of revenues will recover sufficiently to enable the authorities to stay current on its expenditure obligations.


Organization of Public Services

Railway traffic resumed

On 7 February 1998 a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) was signed on the organization of the railway sector in BiH. According to this MoU, railways will be organized as follows:

  1. A state commission will regulate the inter- entity railway traffic,
  2. The two Entities will establish a Joint Railway Corporation in charge of several tasks related to the management of infrastructures,
  3. Railway companies will operate commercial services.

The state commission for regulation was established on 6 March, the corresponding decision will be published in the BiH Official Gazette this month. In parallel with negotiations on the organization of railways, and in accordance with the MoU, traffic between the Entities resumed. The first commercial inter-entity train traveled from Banovici to Doboj and from Doboj to Sarajevo across the inter-entity boundary lines on Thursday 26 February.


Status of Reconstruction

Transport summary

During the last Transport Task Force meeting, held at March 10, an overview was presented of the current status of project implementation. The following figures outline the progress made so far:

Roads 1996 1997 1998 Total
Financed/Pledged 35,712,155 42,329,100 0 78,041,255
Realised Projects 16,813,456 4,591,078 0 21,404,534
Ongoing Projects 0 2,250,000 0 2,250,000
Progress % 47,1% 16,2% 0,0% 30,3%
Road Bridges
Financed/Pledged 35,659,039 15,586,204 0 51,245,243
Realised Projects 7,843,694 149,358 0 7,993,052
Ongoing Projects 2,698,690 0 0 2,698,690
Progress % 29,6% 1,0% 0,0% 20,9%
Railways
Financed/Pledged 27,882,553 20,292,750 0 48,175,303
Realised Projects 25,007,553 5,330,850 0 30,338,403
Ongoing Projects 28,750 3,800 0 32,550
Progress % 89,8% 26,3% 0,0% 63,0%
Civil Aviation
Financed/Pledged 27,426,000 10,558,500 4,200,000 42,184,500
Realised Projects 2,406,000 38,500 0 2,444,500
Ongoing Projects 9,969,600 347,500 0 10,317,100
Progress % 45,1% 3,7% 0,0% 30,3%

(Note: Ongoing Projects include projects under design, tendering and construction, but in the respective column only the costs of actual construction works are included)

Progress in the field of Civil Aviation

As determined in Article 3 of the BiH Constitution, air traffic control is a responsibility of the State. Accordingly the State Department of Civil Aviation (DCA) was set up 5 September 1997 to fulfill this task.

An International Secretariat (IS) is in the process of being established, the Chief Executive arriving on 22 March. The IS shall function as an independent advisory body to the DCA and work to guidelines accepted by the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO). Funding is provided by the Swedish Government (1st year) and the EC (2nd and 3rd year).

Furthermore, a bilateral agreement was signed on 2 March between the DCA and EUROCONTROL (the delegated authority of European Nations on flight charges), regarding route charges on flights crossing BiH airspace. Expected annual revenues from this agreement will amount to $1.2 million (DM 2.2).

Owing to OHR mediation, the DCA and Civil Aviation authorities of the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia (FRY) signed an agreement on reciprocal flight authorization. The arrangement, signed on 2 March, followed talks by Yugoslav air carrier JAT and Air Bosna. As a result, the first flight between Belgrade and Banja Luka since 1992 took place on the same day. The current agreement is valid for 6 months, in which an Air Service Agreement between BiH and FRY should be concluded.

Renewed coordination in the Energy sector

The Task Force (TF) on Electric Power and Coal has started to become operational again, after a period of 15 months of non-activity. Members of the core Task Force are the WB, EBRD, EC, USAID, IMG, DFID and the OHR. In addition a Full Group TF will be established, which will consist of all members of the core TF, extended with representatives of Ministries of Energy, Donors, Elektroprivredas, PIU's etc.

During the first TF assembly since November 1996, it was concluded that the assessment process will be re-started, giving an overview of what has been done in the past, the status of ongoing projects and the remaining needs-requirements. The output of the re- assessments will be processed into a database, most likely the IMG PIMS Database, free accessible to all actors involved.

(More information on this subject can be obtained by the IMG Energy Unit, Mr. M. Alberts, Tel: 071 666020)

Coordination of the general Reconstruction Process

One of the mandates of the High Representative as stipulated in Annex 10 of the Dayton Agreement is to coordinate the activities of the civilian organizations and agencies, in particular in the field of economic reconstruction. To that end in 1996 the Economic Task Force (ETF) was established, in order to advice the High Representative on main policy matters. The ETF deals with reconstruction as well as economic reforms and policy. It is chaired by the High Representative, meets every second week and include the European Commission, World Bank, IMF, EBRD, USAID, IMG and EC-CAFAO.

Reconstruction projects carried out by donors or their implementing agencies are coordinated through sectoral Task Forces. The main role of each sector Task Force includes: Policy Setting, Needs Assessment and Program/Project Development, Fund Gap Identification, Monitoring of Project Implementation, and to provide regular information on all the above mentioned matters. Task Force Leaders meet monthly with the OHR to coordinate and harmonize their work.

The following table gives a brief overview of the currently existing sectoral Task Forces;

Sector Task Force Organisation STF-Leader
Agriculture and Food FAO Mona Chaya
Economic Policy WB/IMF Saumya Mitra
Education and Culture UNESCO Colin Kaiser
Electric Power and Coal IMG Marcel Alberts
Health and Social Safety Net WHO Jean Laliaberte
Housing IMG Klaus Purup
Industry USAID Craig Buck
Landmines UNDP/OHR Hans Bruijntjes
Transport IMG Michele Mallard
Water/Waste Water/Solid Waste IMG Werner Labi

For further information concerning this publication please contact:
Paul Hulshoff, IMG - tel.: 666 020
Clement van de Coevering, OHR - tel.: 447 275

Sector Status Summary Report
(as per March 1998) - Figures in DM
Sector Completed In Implementation Not Specified* Total
Agriculture 31,900,605 56,161,764 8,085,872 96,148,241
Education 40,868,321 27,099,696 7,295,076 75,263,092
Energy 59,062,465 142,627,648 61,422,330 263,112,443
External Debt Service 42,262,919

42,262,919
Finance & Trade 10,806,714 596,447 17,564,172 28,967,333
Government Institution Building 39,676,641 26,112,312 2,326,300 68,115,252
Health 52,685,779 37,430,448 50,309,288 140,425,515
Housing 88,623,097 52,159,089 144,050,611 284,832,797
Industry & Industrial Finance 58,226,648 198,327,418 25,832,365 282,386,432
Landmine Clearing 15,372,314 15,374,516
30,746,829
Multi-Sector 2,463,744 390,010 5,107,359 7,961,113
Other 1,233,461 2,777,285
4,010,746
Peace Implementation Activities 95,342,914 710,087
96,053,000
Social Support 86,957,365 39,877,245 2,011,349 128,845,959
Telecommunications & Communications 1,347,493 12,193,802 6,000,373 19,541,668
Transport 104,798,871 37,543,370 76,643,669 218,985,909
Water & Waste Water Management 64,806,111 17,609,879 11,081,240 93,497,231
Grand Total: 796,435,460 666,991,017 417,730,005 1,881,156,482

* Includes contracts for which no milestones have been provided, therefore the status could not be determined.

Source of information: RCM Database

Note 1: Figures include all contracts since June 1996

Note 2: This report is based on information provided by Implementing Agencies and other participants willing to contribute to the RCM Database. Therefore, the ETF Secretariat nor the RCM Database can take any responsibility for incorrect or incomplete information potentially contained within this report. Original values are converted to DM based on annual average exchange rates.


Office of the High Representative